It is far too early for definitive statements on the impact of the virus. So in what follows key questions are raised with relevant data offered to provide some sense on the magnitude of the hit.
How Long Will It Last?
This will least in part depend on how well it is handled by individual countries. Consider China: so far, there have been more than 80,000 cases and 3,000 deaths in China. Given that China is a nation with 1.4 billion people, these are quite low infection rates and deaths.
After some delays, the first cases in China were “reported” in late December. So figure the first cases actually occurred in mid-December. It recorded more than 3,000 cases daily in February. By using near-draconian measures in Wuhan and other locales, it is now down to reporting fewer than 30 new cases daily. That means it has been four months to this point in China. It did badly at the beginning of the outbreak but has probably done better than most countries will be able to do…